The decison was really
a simple one to chase today. This was more than likely the last chase
of the year unless we get really lucky and nab something in October,
which is pretty unlikely. Wind shear was beyond excellent today but the
limiting factor was moisture. Dewpoints were only in the low 50's in
the early morning which caused some concern, but by the afternoon any
worries disappeared as they were already reaching the 60's in SW Iowa.
The low pressure system was hovering over eastern Nebraska moving east.
We hit the road around 10 a.m. with intentions of stopping just east of
Des Moines to gather data, which we ended up doing. Later we stopped
again in Ankeny and noticed a nice clearing slot taking place in
western Iowa, which is good. From there we decided on trucking west to
intercept some cells that were yet to fire before they went linear. As
it turned out, that never happened.
Outlook:
Tornado probability:
Skipping ahead as I always do, we are now just north of Ogden at some
park. For the life of me I can't remember the name of it now, but it
was pretty nice. It had a nice wraparound lake. We sat here for a while
waiting for something, anything. As we were "tailgaiting" in the back
of the truck, I noticed one quick lightning bolt but that was it. We
noticed a few halfass anvils but they were quickly knocked down to
size. Hope was kind of running out in a hurry. There was a clearing for
a little while, but midlevel clouds quickly filled in again. Things
just weren't looking good at all. Another issue was when (IF) something
fired, what time it would be and how much daylight would be left to
chase. Here's a quick shot of the clearing.
By this time there had already been a tornado watch issued until 8 p.m.
Continuing to head west after sitting at the park for about an hour,
thinks still looked bleak. To our east was pretty much raked so our
only hope was for something discrete to fire up, but I think we both
thought the day was already shaping up to be yet another bust. Jumping
ahead again, we stopped in Gowrie to gather more data. The town was
very small which was kind of a letdown, but at the last minute before
punching out of the west side, I decided to pull in front of some very
small maintenance garage. Surprisingly we quickly connected and it was
a good one. Thanks Gowrie! We noticed the low pressure system was
spnning off some storms NNE more to the west of us. If we weren't able
to connect in Gowrie, who knows what we would have decided on. So, the
plan was to shoot out further west and wait for an isolated cell from
the spinoff of the low pressure system now making it's way into western
Iowa. Again we were in great viewing position for something to happen.
We could see the cu arc swinging its way up as we waited. At this
point there were some pretty strong backing winds coming from the
southeast. Our hopes rose just a little bit at this point.
Shear was clearly visible in this line. This was the extreme northern
edge of that "arm" the system was spinning off.
Panning further to the south.
Very low topped structure, which was expected. That wind shear was
knocking those towers over as soon as they seemed to glaciate. We still
had some hope at this point, however. The towers to the south were
still rotating around to the south up toward us.
Nice sunburst. I really need to go out shooting more. My exposures are
really disappointing me lately. Nothing impressive at all yet. We saw a
few lightning bolts and some newly developed rainshowers but that was
about it.
Now it gets kind of interesting. We figured it was just another bust
and set back for home. It was getting relatively late and we weren't
really looking forward to the trip back home (a little under 5 hours).
We set off back east, then north to 20.
I kept looking over my shoulder making jokes at some weak lowering
behind a new rain shaft that was pretty heavy. Joel and I were
basically making fun of this system and were again somewhat bummed out
over another bust. As we kept an eye on it, the slight bowl shape it
first took on was now getting a little more definitive. Wall cloud. We
had to stop and watch this now. A few times it really looked
interesting, but it would get better. That barn in the shot above was
in a bad spot. I should have moved a little further up the road. We
really didn't travel too far up the road since we were still kind of
pessimistic over the entire thing. We are now in Sherwood in NW Calhoun
County.
It was really showing some classic wall could structure in a hurry. The
base pretty much went from completely flat and boring to this lowering
that was continually changing shape. After a few minutes I could
definitely see the rotation through the zoom lens. It was anything
dramatic, but it was rotation nevertheless.
A few minutes later. It was starting to look really nice and our hopes
were now actually pretty high that we might actually seem something
drop.
A few funnel clouds were witnessed in this sequence, some that reached
about 2/3 of the way to the ground. We didn't know it at this time, but
this storm was actually tornado warned with a clearly visible hook echo
on radar.
We were obviously at the tip of the white arrow, looking west. You can
see
the hook on radar. Storm motion was to the NNE at this point. That arc
of storms is the spinoff from that low pressure system just to the west
of this reflectivity.
Very interesting motions at times, but still not strong rotation. A
little RFD cut or something right about now would have been nice.
I saw this a little after it looked as if the wall cloud was
disentegrating. From my vantage point, it looked as it if had the best
rotation yet, but I really have no idea. After watching the video it
looks like it could have had something, but it still wasn't anything to
write home about. Did I ever mention my zoom lens SUCKS?
Now if you look on that radar image above, you can see a new cell
firing to the south of our last one. The wall cloud was quickly
swallowed back up into the base and showed no more signs of
reorganizing. After that ordeal we were kind of geared up for the next
cell. From the start it looked pretty nice, showing another lowering
but without rotation. There was a nice, sharp precip shaft and
lightning was really picking up now. It was looking pretty nice.
Just couldn't muster up enough motivation.
Oh well! It was a nice try. So we went O for the season. Given the
amount of times we were actually able to chase, I'd say this year
hasn't been too terribly bad. We were VERY close on a few occasions of
seeing a tornado, but for some reason just didn't happen. Hopefully
next year will bring us some much better luck.